Welcome to DFS Brilliance, I try to break down the not so obvious best plays and sometimes they are pretty obvious. Looking at the main slate today I want to try an attack it with 3 games that I have researched and determined have the best match ups and potential for some high scores for your GPP Lineups,
I love the Rockets-Knicks matchup and just looking back at some of the points Harden puts up he’s my top play who should easily make value.
Top stacks Rockets – James Harden, Chris Paul and Clint Capela.
If this game stays at all competitive which I think it will based off of how poorly NY played last night I think they come with a strong effort. I’m not opposed to Running back at this stack with Tim Hardaway and the zinger but keep your eye on news about wheter or not Kanter plays as that would change my entire theory on a full Houston Stack here. If Kanter plays I love Paul as a one off. and would focus more on the game below.
Top stacks 76ers – Joel Embiid and TJ McConell, Sarcic.
With Ben simmons out the minutes are locked for TJ and Embiid’s usage goes up to 39.1% according to Rotogrinders Court IQ Tool. Sarcic scores an average of of 4.8% more according to that same tool. on the other side of this game I like Vucevic as a one off if you want to stacjk this game. I like Payton but his price is a little too high and there are better point guards to target if we’re gonna load up on studs.
The obvious – SO I am pretty sure most people will be playing Steph Curry with KD already ruled out today. the news that we need to her fron this game is on Draymonds status. If Draymond is in this game looks like it will play out on the vegas numbers which is currently at -11 in favor of the dubs. Note that the spead started out at -14 so there has been movement towards the Pels.
If your going after ths game, I am!! I am stacking Steph, Bell, Klay. This again is all predicated on if Draymond is out. if he is I am stacking right back in this game with Rondo, AD and Cunningham.
My pain today – What do I do with so many good matchups today do I play the bigs from the Pels and the PG’s like Steph and Russ? I am torn as I do my own research I try to decide before I see any industry news what I think the plays are going to be and after I read some articles today I am torn on wheter to go stars and scrubs or balance with a few big guns.
Here’ is an actual lineup I will be playing in the main slate today on FanDuel. Good Luck and please if you win send me some shout outs on twitter @VatmanP
Tonight I used a DFSKARMA lineup. I also used some late breaking news to play a lineup in the $25 entry late slate that I nearly won. The revenge narrative was in full effect as Jordan Bell went off and was a must have in a blowout game that he dominted on the glass with the absence of Draymond and KD. Tomorrow I will be back at with a few cash lineups and a short slate article of strategy and best plays for a small late slate $25 to $33 entry GPP.
Well on the night I won a small amount on my entire buy in. I wanted to goback and breakdown my strategy and share the resullts. I bought in for $80 and won $66. My main plays I built around were Bo Horvat and Del Zotto from the Canucks. First off I’m never dissapointed when I beleive my process wa on point. You may ask what do I mean by that? Simple when I look back at what I’m trying to do tonight, I was in it to hit big. And I had a feeling that fading the chalk which was the Flyers goalie and offensive stacks I would have a unique lineup and low owned players. I had both! At the end of the day I simply had the wrong scorers for the Nuck’s I needed to have Boesers and Vanek they did all the damage. the importance of the following is the key to winning big. If both of my players score a goal and assist on the other I am in the top 5 of most of my entries. they didn’t and I pretty much won my money back but the lesson to myself and others should be the game theory and that my friends employed regularly will eventually hit big. until next time feel free to hit me up on twitter @VatmanP
Well I built 20 Lineups using the optimizer at ROTO QL i went in and choose 1 player who was trending and locked it in and favorited 2 others and built 20 lineups. It was a huge return and I nearly took down the entire GPP, if only a few of the values did a little better. In any case a win is still a win even if you have to split it with 269 other exact lineups. From a feel good stand point it’s not ideal to split with so many others but I will never argue with the results which garnered a huge 447% ROI. Tie or not the bottom line is that is huge return on an $80 investment. One thing I would like to point out is that it took me literally 1 minute to build these lineups and about 10 minutes of research. If you decide to click on the link and want to try ROTO QL I am happy to answer questions and help you get started building winning lineups.
11/6/17 Tonight we have a small 3 game slate for NBA and most of the smart DFS players really take advantage of the details on nights likw these. As an example last night i played the late 2 game slate and lost a little and won a little, the one common factor was that the lineups that did well were the lineups with random one off players in them. MY take as of this writinf is that we really have one solid game to pick from tht should stay close the other 2 threaten to be blowouts. So lets look at the blow out factor, The Dubs are probably goinf to clobber the heat who are at present 16.5 point underdogs. So what do we do fade it paly it safe or hope vegas is wrong. Vegs is not always right but they are usually not far off. One of the things i will be looking at tomorrow is line movement in all of the games and what I want to see is if any of the games appear closer by tip. The Boston game looks like a potential blowout but The Celts are playing a back to back so maybe they are tired and that could mean our value may show up in that game. But realistically these are professional players they will all be ready to play. I like the Celtics game more than the other two to build around and that will be where I will start my players will Be Kyrie, Rozier, and Smart. i will most likely favorite in my optimizer from the PHX BKN game the usual suspects TJ, Devon, James matching up with Demarre, D’Angelo and RHJ. If I go in and favorite all of those here’s what a Random Lineup might look Like
Now I know what your thinking that does’nt look very good I mean the projected points aren’t cash worthy right. Don’t fret Last Monday I posted a screen shot with a $2,250 win and that lineup was built the exact same way and was projected at 311 and finished at 364. But the purpose of this is to show you that the strategy needed to win big is sometimes multiple lineups with the most unsuspecting players in it. I know I have whipped open my contests on more than one occasion and looked at the leaders lineups omly to ask myself what in the worls would make that person put that guy or this guy in that lineup. Anyway if you want to try this out and need an optimizer that produces results you can go here ROTO QL to get access to the same thing I use. Well I will be building 30 lineups and inveting $120 looking for a near 400% ROI or hopefully we can hit the big one and win 100K. Good Luck out there and look for my Lineup for Gpps later in the day.